Pistoiese vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 2
PIS
19%
24%
58%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIS
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
FOL
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 2
PIS
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 0
NOC
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 0
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 3
BEN
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 3
ASC
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
PRG
34%
27%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |