Pistoiese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
SSS
3 - 1
PIS
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CES
2 - 1
PIS
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
PIS
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
PIS
1 - 0
CAG
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
COM
55%
27%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |