Pistoiese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
42%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PIS
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
REG
1 - 1
PIS
57%
26%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
PIS
1 - 1
SAL
28%
30%
43%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
USF
4 - 0
PIS
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
PIS
1 - 1
FIA
37%
30%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 0
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
CES
2 - 1
FIA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
SAL
0 - 0
CES
52%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
USF
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
BOL
0 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |