Pistoiese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CAG
2 - 0
PIS
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
PIS
0 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIS
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PIS
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
PIS
1 - 2
VIC
28%
23%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 3
CES
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CES
2 - 0
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
CES
1 - 2
PAL
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
TOR
3 - 1
CES
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |