Pistoiese vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 1
MPO
74%
18%
8%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 1
SDT
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 0
PIS
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 1
IMO
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ASL
3 - 2
PIS
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 4
PON
19%
25%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
BAG
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACP
3 - 1
ACA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
ASD
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
ACA
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |