Písek vs Chomutov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
14º
11º
7
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 31 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 29 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 27 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 25 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 14 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 14 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 13 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 11 |
16º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Písek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
PIS
0 - 0
ADM
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STC
4 - 0
PIS
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 2
JIS
14%
21%
65%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
PIS
68%
17%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PBM
1 - 2
PIS
19%
20%
61%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
CHO
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
TAB
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPP
1 - 1
CHO
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 3
FCB
42%
23%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 8
UST
21%
20%
59%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |