Pisa SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 0
FIA
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 0
PRO
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
COM
0 - 0
PIS
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
PIS
0 - 0
PIS
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 1
ASL
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 1
SPE
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 2
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRO
37%
29%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
3 - 0
ASL
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |