Pisa SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RIM
1 - 2
PIS
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
3 - 0
ACP
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
PIS
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
PRO
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
PIS
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
CES
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
48%
28%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |