Pisa SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PIS
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
PIS
1 - 0
AVE
65%
22%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
PAL
1 - 1
PIS
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
PES
1 - 1
PIS
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
PIS
4 - 0
LEC
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
ASL
1 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
ANC
2 - 1
ASL
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
ASL
2 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASL
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
ASL
2 - 1
BOL
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |