Pisa SC vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PIS
57%
26%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAV
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PRO
4 - 2
PIS
40%
31%
29%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PIS
1 - 0
ACS
49%
26%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
USI
0 - 1
PIS
40%
31%
29%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 2
CES
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PES
1 - 3
BRE
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 0
VIC
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 1
NAP
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |