FK Pirmasens vs Viktoria Herxheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
4º
4º
4
13º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 75 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 73 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
20 | 71 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 31 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
4 | 20 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pirmasens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 6
PIR
27%
24%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 1
PIR
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
KAI
7%
14%
79%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
DUD
2 - 4
PIR
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PIR
7 - 2
KAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Herxheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 4
WWO
10%
14%
77%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PIR
0 - 1
VHE
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VHE
1 - 2
HBI
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EBK
2 - 2
VHE
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VHE
3 - 1
HER
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |