OFC Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-4
AS Pirae vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
76.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Pirae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
PIR
93%
5%
2%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
3 - 1
WAI
9%
14%
77%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
8 - 0
KIW
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 2
PIR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PIR
5 - 0
TAM
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
PIR
93%
5%
2%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
DRA
0 - 3
AUC
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
NAD
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
65%
19%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |