Pinneberg vs SV Lurup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinneberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CUR
2 - 0
PIN
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PIN
4 - 1
NIE
44%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 0
PIN
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 1
BUC
34%
25%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
VIE
0 - 1
PIN
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SVL
1 - 0
CON
32%
24%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 2
SVL
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SVL
5 - 1
BER
26%
22%
51%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GER
4 - 1
SVL
62%
19%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SVL
0 - 1
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |