Pinkafeld vs Halbturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+183%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
11º
9º
32
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STM
3 - 1
PIN
18%
19%
64%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
SPG
84%
11%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
3 - 2
PIN
8%
13%
80%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 1
USV
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
PIN
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
BAS
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
PAR
6%
11%
83%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
HAL
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 3
RIT
4%
9%
87%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | +2 |