Pinkafeld vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
11º
9º
56
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PIN
4 - 2
LEI
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 0
PIN
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
0 - 2
DEU
64%
18%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
3 - 1
PIN
19%
18%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 2
STM
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
BAS
83%
12%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
PAR
14%
17%
69%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
KLI
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEI
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
ASV
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |