Pinkafeld vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
PIN
29%
23%
49%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PIN
4 - 2
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 2
PIN
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 3
PUR
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STI
1 - 3
PIN
35%
23%
41%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
STG
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 1
MAR
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
GUS
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
DRA
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |