Pinkafeld vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
47%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
11º
9º
52
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 4
PAR
19%
19%
63%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PIN
4 - 2
LEI
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 0
PIN
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PIN
0 - 2
DEU
64%
18%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
3 - 1
PIN
19%
18%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 6
HOR
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 1
KLI
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
PAR
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 2
HOR
62%
19%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 1
HOR
80%
13%
6%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |