Pinhalnovense vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
71.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
PIN
1 - 2
BEL
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
PIN
3 - 0
LEC
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
VST
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 1
VST
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |