Pinhalnovense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 1
PIN
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 3
BEN
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
PIN
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
4 - 3
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 0
PIN
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAF
0 - 0
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |