Pinhalnovense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 1
PIN
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
3 - 2
ATL
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 2
1DE
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 1
PIN
52%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
3 - 3
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
1DE
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUS
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 2
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 1
LUS
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 1
LUS
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -3 |