Pinhalnovense vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 0
PIN
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 0
PIN
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 2
FAR
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
PIN
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
5 - 2
PER
47%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
LOU
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
ELE
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
LOU
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |