Pinhalnovense vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
PIN
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 3
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 3
PIN
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 0
MAF
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 0
PIN
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 2
SER
30%
24%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ORI
4 - 2
LOU
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 3
PIN
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FER
5 - 1
LOU
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
BEN
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |