Pinhalnovense vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 0
PIN
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 2
PIN
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 1
PIN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAF
0 - 1
LOU
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EVN
2 - 1
LOU
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
1DE
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |