Pinhalnovense vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
PIN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 4
COV
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
PIN
13%
18%
69%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 2
LEX
23%
26%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
27%
27%
46%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 1
FCC
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 5
FAM
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |