Pinhalnovense vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
PIN
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOU
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 1
PIN
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 2
VIA
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 3
PIN
13%
18%
69%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FAB
3 - 1
ARM
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALJ
2 - 2
FAB
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FAB
2 - 1
ALM
33%
22%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FAB
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIA
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |