Pinhalnovense Sub 15 vs Portimonense Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
10º
9º
11
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CVP
1 - 0
PIN
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 3
FAR
22%
21%
58%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BLN
2 - 0
PIN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 1
VIT
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
PIN
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
EST
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
CVP
17%
19%
63%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OLH
0 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
FAR
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
2 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |