Pineto vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
PES
2%
6%
92%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
MAT
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REC
1 - 3
PIN
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 3
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
FER
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
RIE
4 - 1
LAQ
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
LAQ
46%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ULD
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
LAQ
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LAQ
4 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |