Pineto vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
PIN
0 - 0
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PIN
3 - 3
AVE
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 2
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PIN
0 - 1
OLY
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GIU
0 - 4
PIN
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAV
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REC
4 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
JES
66%
19%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |