Pineto vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 2
PIN
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
PIN
12%
17%
72%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
OLY
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
PIN
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 3
USN
86%
11%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASD
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAT
17%
25%
58%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
REC
5 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -3 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |