Pineto vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
PIN
59%
20%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 0
PIN
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 0
JES
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 0
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
PIN
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIS
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FER
17%
21%
63%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |