Pineto vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
18º
10º
29
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 80 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 78 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 68 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 68 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 66 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 58 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 54 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 54 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 53 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 51 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 49 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 48 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 47 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 45 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 43 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 38 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
19º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 30 |
19º
|
34.5% | |
|
20º
|
15 | 26 |
20º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 2
PIN
21%
25%
53%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
ASC
16%
24%
61%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
0 - 1
CAM
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 1
PIN
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 2
ASG
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARZ
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
VIS
4 - 0
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |