Pineto vs Castelnuovo Vomano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 2
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
PIN
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
PIN
4 - 1
CYN
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PIN
3 - 2
CAM
25%
27%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
PIN
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 2
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
GIU
0 - 1
CAS
32%
24%
45%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
REC
3 - 0
CAS
57%
20%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
RIE
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SEL
3 - 2
CAS
13%
17%
70%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |