Pineto vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
OLY
3 - 3
PIN
30%
24%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 4
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 2
PIN
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 1
MAT
29%
29%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SAS
3 - 3
PIN
48%
26%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
UST
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UST
1 - 1
CAT
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
UST
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UST
1 - 2
OLY
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
UST
4 - 2
MEZ
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |