Pinerolo vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinerolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 1
PIN
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
FEZ
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 3
PIN
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
LIG
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SES
1 - 0
NOV
70%
21%
10%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VOG
0 - 0
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 3
VFC
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |