Pill vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
80.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PLL
4 - 0
CAL
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 7
TNS
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |