Pilica Białobrzegi vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
9º
16º
11º
25
5º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pilica Białobrzegi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SOK
3 - 0
PBI
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PBI
0 - 2
LTM
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PEL
2 - 2
PBI
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
PBI
1 - 1
PGM
24%
22%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 4
PBI
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 1
WSI
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LWA
2 - 2
UWA
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 2
MLA
30%
22%
49%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SWI
3 - 0
UWA
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
UWA
3 - 2
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |