La Piedad vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
30.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
LAP
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAP
0 - 0
MER
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 2
LAP
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAP
2 - 0
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LAP
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
IRA
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
30%
45%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UDG
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
NEC
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |