Picos SE vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
RIV
29%
28%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
PIC
55%
25%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
ALT
28%
25%
48%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
PIC
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
PIC
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
RIV
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
PIA
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
0 - 2
ALT
28%
23%
48%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
0 - 2
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |