Picos SE vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
ALT
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
COR
0 - 4
PIC
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 0
RIV
27%
27%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 2
PIC
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
3 - 3
PIC
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 3
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
COR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |