Picerno vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PIC
4 - 1
FBC
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ASF
0 - 1
PIC
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PIC
3 - 1
RAA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
PIC
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
PIC
3 - 0
PUT
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PUT
0 - 1
VIR
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
BRI
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SOR
2 - 0
VIR
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 3
USB
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 2
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |