Picerno vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 1
MDC
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PIC
4 - 0
AGR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
PIC
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 1
PIC
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
PIC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAR
5 - 0
AGR
62%
22%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 2
NAR
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 3
ANZ
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
POL
0 - 2
NAR
19%
22%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAR
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |