Picerno vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
1 - 0
PIC
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
SFM
85%
11%
4%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
PIC
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
FBC
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 1
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
FBC
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCF
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
POM
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |