Picerno vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
3 - 0
PIC
72%
19%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 0
REA
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 2
PIC
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
APR
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
PIC
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
FON
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 1
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
POM
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 3
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
FRA
31%
27%
43%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |