Picerno vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PIC
1 - 0
BIS
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 0
PIC
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 0
USV
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
PIC
59%
23%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 1
PIC
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 0
TER
37%
28%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 0
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 0
TER
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 1
CAT
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 2
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |