Picerno vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 3
RPO
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
PIC
71%
20%
9%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PIC
1 - 1
AUD
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 0
PIC
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -3 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
4 - 1
RAA
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 0
USC
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
CCI
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
USC
2 - 0
PAL
19%
21%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +4 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REN
1 - 1
USC
69%
20%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
USC
0 - 1
FCI
23%
21%
57%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |