Picerno vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 0
PIC
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PIC
5 - 0
SOR
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
POM
0 - 2
PIC
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCF
1 - 1
PIC
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PIC
3 - 0
SAR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
AEE
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 0
AUD
35%
27%
39%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AUD
3 - 0
GEL
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 2
AUD
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AUD
5 - 1
FBC
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |