Picerno vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 0
PIC
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
4 - 1
RAA
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RPO
4 - 0
PIC
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
3 - 1
TUR
62%
21%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
1 - 2
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AUD
3 - 3
FBC
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FCF
4 - 2
AUD
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -3 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 0
POM
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SSE
0 - 0
AUD
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
AUD
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |