Piauí vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIA
45%
27%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
2 - 2
PIA
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
PIA
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 0
CAI
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 1
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 7
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |