Piauí vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
PIA
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
PIA
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 0
SAL
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 3
PIA
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 2
NAU
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 4
4DE
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
CAI
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |