Piauí vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
PIA
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
3 - 3
PIC
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
PIA
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
2 - 1
RIV
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
PIC
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
PIA
5 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
4 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FLA
7 - 1
CAI
73%
16%
10%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |